Los Angeles went 9-8 against the spread in the regular season and finished 10-7 to the Under. New England was 12-5 ATS and 11-6 to the Over. The Chargers have recorded four Unders in their last five games. The Patriots have covered four of their last five and have produced five straight Overs.

Now Herbert is seeking his very first playoff win. Both of his previous postseason losses came on the road in the Wild Card Round. The Chargers fell 32-12 to the Texans last year, and in 2022, they lost 31-30 to the Jaguars after blowing a 27-0 lead.

Having been an annual fixture on the NFL schedule since 2020, Christmas Day matches have quickly become a tradition as entrenched as eating turkey and watching "A Christmas Story". You can watch NFL Christmas Day 2025 live streams from anywhere with a VPN.

Despite its stellar record, Denver is only 6-9-1 against the spread. Los Angeles is 8-7-1 ATS but had four straight covers before losing to the Texans at home in Week 17. The Chargers are 6-9-1 to the Over while the Broncos are 7-9 to the Over.